69% in week 2 (68% for the season)

We're now 68% on our bet units for the season. We were 6/9 in week one and we're 9/13 in week two. So far, so good, with our statistical model.

Free NFL Week Two Picks - Plus Week One Wrap-up

Our weighted score for our Week One Picks was 67% (best bets were 100%) and our overall score was 62%. We’ve now added our Week Two Picks. As with all our picks, they’re concise (one table), free, and require no hoops to jump through (registrations, etc.).

Our picks are based on a statistical model that generated predicted outcomes using three different systems and compared them to over a dozen casino lines. We used the delta (large is good) between the predictions and the casino spreads along with the population standard deviations (small is good) to arrive at confidence factors.

We also computed the Cumulative Distribution Function (Z-statistic) for each pick to predict a likelihood of success. You need 52.4% to overcome 10% juice and 51.2% to overcome 5% juice. Our bet units are based on both the Z-statistic and the confidence.

The summary for all of our Free NFL Picks includes our cumulative results.

NFL Week One Picks 2009 - Statistically Significant

We created a statistical model that generated predicted outcomes using three different systems and compared them to over a dozen casino lines. We used the delta (large is good) between the predictions and the casino spreads along with the population standard deviations (small is good) to arrive at confidence factors for our Week One Picks. There are two best bets identified, four additional bet-worthy games noted, and predicted outcomes for the other games also listed.

Philadelphia Night Life

We have added a local page for Philadelphia Night Life. We've read the reviews on yelp, 10best, and citysearch to find the most consistently positively rated night clubs, karaoke bars, sports bars, casinos, tapas bars, and more.

- HappyBreath.Net is a breathalyzer retailer serving several Pennsylvania cities, including Philadelphia.

Get the most alcohol for your money (or calories)

Want to get the most alcohol for your money? Check out the Low Cost Mixed Drink Recipes at HappyBreath.Net or use their drink cost analyzer.

Curious how many calories are in your mixed drink? HappyBreath.Net has a database of drink ingredient calories that can be used in the mixed drink calorie analyzer . We also have the beer calorie content and beer percent alcohol for over 200 beers!

Don’t want to do the work yourself? Now HappyBreath has begun to process Drink Recipes for Calories and Cost. We’re taking requests, otherwise we’ll process in order of the top 100 on idrink.com.

Alcohol Tools From HappyBreath.Net

http://www.happybreath.net/tools/

We've added several new tools. The latest will tell you what percentage of a drink's cost are due to sin taxes and it will predict the cost of the same drink in another state.

Tool Queries State DUI Laws and Consequence

http://www.happybreath.net/tools/QueryStateDUILaws.php - Tool will query database of state DUI laws & consequences.