NFL Week One Picks 2009 - Statistically Significant

We created a statistical model that generated predicted outcomes using three different systems and compared them to over a dozen casino lines. We used the delta (large is good) between the predictions and the casino spreads along with the population standard deviations (small is good) to arrive at confidence factors for our Week One Picks. There are two best bets identified, four additional bet-worthy games noted, and predicted outcomes for the other games also listed.